Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#262
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#249
Pace68.2#193
Improvement+1.3#125

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#212
First Shot+0.0#180
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#272
Layup/Dunks-3.1#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+0.8#141

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#294
First Shot-3.1#266
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#310
Layups/Dunks-1.1#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 7.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 30.0 - 7.00.0 - 17.0
Quad 411.0 - 3.011.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 107   @ Connecticut L 70-80 11%     0 - 1 -2.7 -2.0 -0.3
  Nov 10, 2018 33   @ Syracuse L 70-84 4%     0 - 2 +0.5 -1.1 +2.9
  Nov 16, 2018 233   UMKC W 99-89 43%     1 - 2 +5.9 +15.5 -10.5
  Nov 17, 2018 218   Green Bay L 70-87 39%     1 - 3 -20.2 -6.2 -13.7
  Nov 25, 2018 57   Lipscomb L 55-87 14%     1 - 4 -26.4 -17.0 -8.1
  Nov 27, 2018 114   Northern Kentucky L 71-93 25%     1 - 5 -20.8 -5.5 -14.5
  Dec 10, 2018 171   @ Marshall L 64-76 22%     1 - 6 -9.9 -15.8 +6.9
  Dec 13, 2018 159   @ Samford L 72-77 OT 20%     1 - 7 -2.0 -6.2 +4.6
  Dec 18, 2018 132   @ Wright St. L 67-78 15%     1 - 8 -5.7 -1.2 -4.7
  Dec 21, 2018 207   IUPUI W 74-70 48%     2 - 8 -1.4 -3.7 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2018 67   @ Missouri L 61-75 7%     2 - 9 -3.6 -3.5 -0.5
  Jan 03, 2019 56   @ Murray St. L 69-90 7%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -9.9 -0.2 -9.4
  Jan 05, 2019 140   @ Austin Peay L 67-81 16%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -9.3 -7.8 -1.3
  Jan 10, 2019 54   @ Belmont L 60-77 6%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -5.2 -14.0 +9.9
  Jan 12, 2019 311   @ Tennessee St. W 74-61 52%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +6.6 -5.1 +11.1
  Jan 17, 2019 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-69 73%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -8.3 +1.4 -9.3
  Jan 19, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 85-77 68%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -2.8 +5.4 -8.0
  Jan 24, 2019 326   Tennessee Tech W 67-61 78%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -8.0 -4.9 -2.9
  Jan 26, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 71-77 28%     6 - 13 4 - 4 -5.9 +3.2 -9.4
  Jan 31, 2019 329   @ SIU Edwardsville L 76-83 61%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -15.9 -0.2 -15.8
  Feb 02, 2019 313   @ Eastern Illinois W 84-78 52%     7 - 14 5 - 5 -0.5 +4.5 -5.2
  Feb 07, 2019 311   Tennessee St. L 80-81 2OT 72%     7 - 15 5 - 6 -13.0 -3.2 -9.8
  Feb 09, 2019 54   Belmont L 86-96 13%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -3.8 +13.9 -17.8
  Feb 14, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 78-72 60%     8 - 16 6 - 7 -2.6 -3.0 +0.1
  Feb 16, 2019 140   Austin Peay L 70-73 31%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -3.9 -7.5 +3.7
  Feb 21, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-65 14%     8 - 18 6 - 9 +4.6 -1.8 +6.3
  Feb 23, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 66-63 60%     9 - 18 7 - 9 -5.4 +6.3 -11.2
  Feb 28, 2019 56   Murray St. L 52-71 14%     9 - 19 7 - 10 -13.4 -22.8 +10.7
  Mar 02, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky W 78-77 39%     10 - 19 8 - 10 -2.0 +6.1 -8.1
  Mar 06, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville W 72-68 71%     11 - 19 -7.7 -9.9 +2.1
  Mar 07, 2019 140   Austin Peay L 81-95 23%     11 - 20 -12.1 +6.9 -19.2
Projected Record 11.0 - 20.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%